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Guest post: Wither China? 10 takeaways from the National Congress

by Cyril M
October 23, 2022
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Guest post: Wither China? 10 takeaways from the National Congress
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By Themla Gower

The twentieth Nationwide Congress of the Chinese language Communist Get together has now ended. Listed here are the highest ten public coverage takeaways from this uncommon occasion.

1) COVID containment: till a stronger, domestically-produced vaccine is produced, nothing essentially modifications
2) Financial progress targets: turning into #1 on the planet is now thought of not crucial nor advisable
3) Home progress engines: till home consumption charges considerably improve, state-owned firms plus the service and manufacturing sectors must carry the economic system ahead
4) USD/CNH price: for the primary time in 14 years, the 7.2 ceiling has been allowed to interrupt – a transfer that can assist the nation’s exports keep market share
5) Get together & army ideological purity: all corrupted people (nonetheless outlined) need to go
6) Navy spending: extra is healthier
7) Taiwan: “Ceterum autem censeo Carthaginem esse delendam.” … “Moreover, I think about that Carthage have to be destroyed” The phrase originates from debates held within the Roman Senate previous to the Third Punic Struggle

8) R&D: No insurance policies to successfully counter US microchip restrictions (which can be going to intestine China’s AI efforts) have been introduced
9) City youth unemployment charges: this supply of potential social unrest has but to be realistically addressed
10) Plunging start charges: this non-public signal of public nervousness concerning the future threatens to undermine all the pieces

_____________

The creator is a former funding banker and professor specializing in Chinese language affairs.

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Cyril M

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